Homes average a quicker turnover as “days-on-market’ tally drops to its lowest level in 2008

Homes average a quicker turnover as
“days-on-market’ tally drops to its lowest level in 2008

(September, 2008 – Orlando, FL) Osceola County is the bright spot in this month’s housing statistics for the Orlando area: Nearly 9 percent more home sales took place in that county during August 2008 than during August 2007. Other market positives this month include the lowest days-on-market tally (113) so far this year and a fifth consecutive month with more pending sales than in 2007.

Those pending sales, considered by housing economists to be a reliable predictor of future sales activity, are expected to close the current year-to-date sales deficit of 23.30 percent by year end as there are 46.76 percent more homes under contract this month (3,220) than in August of 2007 (2,194).

Members of the Orlando Regional Realtor® Association sold 1,225 homes during the month of August, 16.78 percent below the (1,472) sold in July. That number is 16.50 percent below the total of 1,467 homes sold in August 2007.

The median sales price of a home in the Orlando area in August declined to $200,000, a 3.85 percent decrease compared to the July 2008 median of $208,000. (The median sales price for August 2008 is 18.03 percent below the August 2007 median of $244,000).

The decrease in the median home price to $200,000 means that the area’s affordability index jumped in August to 107.92 percent. (An affordability index of 99 percent means that buyers earning the state-reported median income are 1 percent short of the income necessary to purchase a median-priced home. Conversely, an affordability index that is over 100 means that median-income earners make more than is necessary to qualify for a median-priced home.) Buyers who earn the reported median income of $51,791 can qualify to purchase one of 9,765 homes in Orange and Seminole counties currently listed in the local multiple listing service (MLS) for $215,840 or less.

The first time homebuyer affordability index increased to 76.75 percent from July’s 73.64 percent.

The area’s average interest rate was 6.39 percent in August 2008, down from 6.40 percent in July, but still the second-highest percentage for the last 12 months.

Homes of all types spent an average of 113 days on the market before being sold in August 2008, and the average home sold for 92.77 percent of its listing price. In August 2007 those numbers were 108 and 95.02 percent, respectively.

The majority of single-family homes (197) that changed hands in August 2008 were sold in the $200,000 - $250,000 price range; another 113 homes sold in August for between $250,000 and $300,000. Four hundred thirty-five homes sold for less than $200,000 in August, and 271 sold for more than $300,000. On the far ends of the scale, 16 homes were sold for $1 million or more (the least this year) while 14 homes sold for less than $50,000 (the most this year).

Inventory

There are currently 24,834 homes available for purchase through the MLS. Inventory increased by 92 homes in August 2008, which means that 92 more homes entered the market than left the market. Compared to last year, the August 2008 inventory level (24,834) is 5.62 percent lower than it was in August 2007 (26,313).

The current inventory level reflects a 20.27-month supply at the current pace of sales, which is up from the 16.81-month supply recorded July. Altogether, inventory months-of-supply has declined 35.92 percent since January 2008.

There are 18,363 single-family homes currently listed in the MLS, a number that is more than 1,000 less than this time last year. Most (3,047) are listed in the $200,000 - $250,000 price range. Condos currently make up 4,377 offerings in the MLS, while duplexes/town homes/villas make up the remaining 2,094. Most condos (607) are priced at $120,000 - $140,000. The majority of duplexes/town homes/villas (383) are listed in the $200,000 - $250,000 price category.

Condos and Townhomes/Duplexes/Villas

The sales of condos in the Orlando area decreased by 31.33 percent in August: A total of 114 condos changed hands in August 2008 compared to 166 in August 2007. In a month-to-month comparison, August 2008 condo sales (114) decreased by 14.93 percent from July 2008 (134). Year to date, condo sales are down 43.71 percent, with 939 condos sold so far in 2008 compared to 1,668 sold through the same time in 2007.

In August, the most (20) condos that changed hands were in the $100,000 - $120,000 price category, while an additional 14 sold condos fell in the $140,000 – $160,000 range. The former price category has seen the most condo-sales activity for the last five months.

Orlando homebuyers purchased 95 duplexes, town homes, and villas in August 2008, which is a 29.10 percent decrease from August 2007 when 134 of these alternative housing types were purchased. Year-to-date, duplex, town home, and villa sales are down 19.36 percent. The majority (23) of duplexes, town homes, and villas sold in August 2008 fell into the $160,000 - $180,000 price category, while another 15 sold for between $200,000 and $250,000.

MSA Numbers

Sales of existing homes within the Orlando MSA (Lake, Orange, Osceola, and Seminole counties) in August were down by 12.25 percent when compared to August of last year. Throughout the entire MSA, 1,518 homes were sold in August 2008 compared with 1,730 in August 2007. Year-to-date, the MSA is down by 22.45 percent, with 11,649 homes sold far in 2008 compared to 15,021 sold through August 2007.

Seminole County’s August 2008 sales dropped 30.90 percent below that of August 2007 (275 to 398), while Orange County fell 10.64 percent (764 to 855). Lake County saw a 5.84 percent decline in the number of sales in August 2008 compared to August 2007 (258 to 274), and Osceola County experienced an 8.87 percent increase (221 to 203).

Each county’s year-to-date sales comparisons are as follows:
Lake: 12.48 percent below 2007 (1,996 homes sold to date in 2008 compared to 2,281 in 2007);
Orange: 24.27 percent below 2007 (5,700 homes sold to date in 2008 compared to 7,527 in 2007);
Osceola: 16.63 percent below 2007 (1,664 homes sold to date in 2008 compared to 1,996 in 2007); and
Seminole: 28.85 percent below 2007 (2,289 sold to date in 2008 compared to 3,217 in 2007).

For detailed statistical reports, please visit www.orlrealtor.com and click on Housing Statistics on the top menu bar. This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Orlando Regional Realtor® Association or its Multiple Listing Service (MLS). Neither the Association nor its MLS guarantees or is in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the Association or its MLS may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. Due to late closings, an adjustment is necessary to record those closings posted after our reporting date.

ORRA Realtor® sales, referred to as the core market, represent all sales by members of the Orlando Regional Realtor® Association, not necessarily those sales strictly in Orange and Seminole counties. Note that statistics released each month may be revised in the future as new data is received.

Orlando MSA numbers reflect sales of homes located in Orange, Seminole, Osceola, and Lake counties by members of any Realtor® association, not just members of ORRA.

Statistics on the sales of area homes that are sold without the assistance of a Realtor® are available in the Real Estate Index, a report produced jointly by ORRA and the Real Estate Attorney’s Fund.